lacunary - Mathnotes

Statistics

Definition: Sample \@{sample}

A data set or the @random element that produces the data is called a sample from P.

Definition: Sample Size \@{sample-size}

The size of the data set is called the sample size.

Definition: Known \@{known}

The population P is known if and only if P(A) is a known value for every event A∈F.

Definition: statistical problem \@{statistical-problem}

In a statistical problem, the population P is at least partially unknown and we would like to deduce some properties of P based on the available sample.

Definition: Statistical Model \@{statistical-model}

A statistical model P is a collection of @probability measures on a common measurable space (Ω,F).

Equivalently, P⊆P(Ω,F), where P(Ω,F) denotes the set of all probability measures on (Ω,F).

In other words, a statistical model is a set of populations constrained by some set of assumptions about the populations, or, is the assumptions themselves.

Definition: Parameter \@{parameter}

Let P be a statistical model. A parameter is a function ϑ:P→Λ into some set Λ. For P∈P, the element ϑ(P) is the value of the parameter at P.

Definition: Parameterization \@{parameterization}

A parameterization of a statistical model P is a surjective map π:Θ→P written Pθ=π(θ).

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Proposition: Parameters Factor Through the Parameterization \@{parameters-factor-through-the-parameterization}

Let π:Θ→P be a parameterization.

  1. Every parameter ϑ is a function of θ: setting g=ϑ∘π gives ϑ(Pθ)=g(θ) for all θ∈Θ.
  2. Conversely, a function g:Θ→Λ arises this way from some parameter if and only if Pθ1=Pθ2 implies g(θ1)=g(θ2).
Proof \@{proof-of-parameters-factor-through-the-parameterization}

TODO

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Definition: Identifiable \@{identifiable}

A parameterization π is identifiable if the @identity map on Θ satisfies the condition in Parameters Factor Through the Parameterization, that is, if π is injective. Then π−1:P→Θ is a parameter, the indexing parameter, and Θ is its range.

Definition: Parameter Space \@{parameter-space}

The parameter space of a parameterization π:Θ→P is its domain Θ.

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Definition: Parametric Family \@{parametric-family}

A statistical model P on a measurable space (Ω,F) is a parametric family if it has a parameterization θ↦Pθ whose parameter space satisfies Θ⊆Rd for some fixed positive integer d.

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Definition: Statistic \@{statistic}

Assume that we have a data set that is a realization of a sample X (a @random vector) from an unknown population P on a @probability space.

A @measurable function of X, T(X), is called a statistic if T(X) is a known value whenever X is known, i.e., the function T is a known function (i.e. T doesn't depend on the unknown P.)

Remark \@{remark-16}

The @identity map T(X)=X is a statistic, but a trivial one. A useful statistic usually has a simpler range than X. For example, if X=(X1,…,Xn) is a list of n measurements, the sample @mean X¯=1n∑i=1nXi reduces the data from @dimension n to dimension 1. In contrast, X¯−μ(P), where μ(P) is the mean of P, is not a statistic, because it depends on the unknown P.

In statistical analysis, we usually think of P as being a population in some statistical model, but that's not necessary.

Every statistic is a @random element. If the @distribution of X is unknown, then the distribution of T may also be unknown. Determining the distribution of T is one of the major problems in statistical inference and decision theory.

Remark \@{remark-17}

Parameters and statistics are analogous: a parameter is a function of the population:

ϑ:P→Λ,

and a statistic is a function of the sample:

T:Ω→Λ.

A parameter's value is fixed once the population is fixed, while a statistic's value is random because the sample is random. Also, a parameter needs a statistical model to be defined on (a set of populations), while a statistic needs only the sample space.

Many statistics are parameters applied to the sample itself, via the empirical distribution.

Definition: Empirical Distribution \@{empirical-distribution}

TODO: define this.

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Definition: Estimator (also defines: estimate) \@{estimator}

Let P be a statistical model on (Ω,F), and let ϑ:P→Λ be a parameter, where (Λ,G) is a measurable space. An estimator of ϑ is a statistic T:(Ω,F)→(Λ,G). If x∈Ω is an observed data set (i.e. one value that a sample X happened to take), the value T(x) is called an estimate of ϑ.

Definition: Bias (also defines: unbiased estimator) \@{bias}

In an estimation problem, the bias of an estimator T(X) of a real-valued parameter ϑ of the unknown population is defined to be bT(P)=E[T(X)]−ϑ (which is denoted by bT(θ) when P is in a parametric family index by θ).

An estimator is said to be an unbiased estimator for ϑ if and only if bT(P)=0 for any P∈P.

Sufficient Statistics

Definition: Sufficient Statistic \@{sufficient-statistic}

A function T(X) is said to be a sufficient statistic relative to the family {fθ(x)} if X is conditionally independent of θ given T(X) for any probability distribution on θ, that is, θ→T(X)→X forms a Markov chain.

Definition: Minimal Sufficient Statistic \@{minimal-sufficient-statistic}

A statistic T(X) is a minimal sufficient statistic relative to {fθ(x)} if it is a function of every other sufficient statistic U.

Note \@{note-23}

In terms of the Data-Processing Inequality, this implies that

θ→T(X)→U(X)→X.